DHL Trade Atlas 2025
The DHL Trade Atlas 2025 is a data-driven global trade report produced in partnership with NYU Stern, offering forecasts, trends, and insights into international trade flows, geopolitical shifts, and emerging market opportunities. It serves as a strategic guide for business and policy leaders navigating the evolving global trade landscape.
Below is a summary of the publication.
🌍 Global Trade Is Still Rising — But with Caution
Trade is forecasted to grow at 3.1% annually through 2029, despite tariff threats and policy uncertainty.
🔁 U.S.–China: Supply Chains Reshuffled, Not Severed
U.S. direct imports from China are declining, but overall dependency persists as goods reroute via countries like Vietnam and Mexico.
📈 Cross-Border E-Commerce Is Exploding
Sales hit $2.9 trillion in 2022 and are expected to grow 15–25% annually.
📊 Fast-Growing Trade Hubs
Watch for increased trade activity in India, Vietnam, Indonesia, and Sub-Saharan Africa.
⚠️ Tariff Threats Still Loom
Trump-era tariffs could slow global trade but are not expected to reverse long-term growth.
📦 Action Items for Shippers
- Diversify supply chains and sources
- Refine international e-commerce logistics
- Stay alert to tariff changes
- Utilize tech and analytics
- Focus on high-growth emerging markets
🚀 Bottom Line:
Trade is evolving, not retreating. Parcel shippers who stay agile and informed can seize new opportunities in a shifting landscape.
Source: DHL Group Press Release